Wednesday, March 9, 2016

Molotovs and Death Threats: Russian Debt Collectors Go Medieval (BW)

“They are almost willing to kill, or at least threaten.”
Inside a debtor’s building, the warning on the wall reads “Apartment 146 Debtor.”
Inside a debtor’s building, the warning on the wall reads “Apartment 146 Debtor.”

On the night of Jan. 27, a Molotov cocktail crashed through the window of a house in the central Russian city of Ulyanovsk, badly burning a toddler. Prosecutors charged a 44-year-old man with the firebombing, saying he had threatened the child’s grandfather over past-due payments on a 4,000-ruble ($51) loan. The accused, a former police officer, has denied the charges.

As Russia’s economy falters, its citizens are sinking deeper into debt—and bill collectors are going after them with vehemence. In recent months, collection agents have been charged with assaulting debtors, vandalizing their cars, even destroying baby carriages parked outside apartments. A kindergarten in southern Russia was evacuated in December after a caller threatened to attack the building unless an employee paid a debt owed by her husband. In another case, Anton and Anna Byskup, who live in Novosibirsk, say that unidentified collectors in January sent e-mails to their friends and relatives with a fake obituary of their baby daughter and put Anna’s photo and telephone number on a website advertising prostitutes’ services. The couple say they fell behind on repaying a short-term 15,000-ruble loan from a high-interest payday lender. “I was shaking, I had a nervous breakdown,” Anna said in a TV interview.

Collection agents vandalized a debtor’s car with the same warning.
Collection agents vandalized a debtor’s car with the same warning. 

Outrage over such tactics has spurred calls for tougher regulation; social media sites have emerged where victims can post stories with photos and videos documenting harassment. “People need help. They’re being terrorized,” says Alexander Naryshkin, a programmer in St. Petersburg who helped set up an online forum called STOP Collector after he was harassed over a 350,000-ruble loan that he used to buy computer equipment.

Russians went on a borrowing spree as their economy recovered from the 2008 global financial crisis. Total consumer debt more than doubled, to 10.3 trillion rubles, last year from 2008, according to the National Bureau of Credit Histories, a Moscow-based credit bureau. A steep plunge in the ruble since 2014 has helped fuel borrowing as shoppers, anticipating higher prices, stocked up on imported consumer electronics and other goods. Now, with the economy in recession, about 10 percent of consumer debt is in arrears, including an overdue rate of more than 25 percent on debt to payday lenders, according to the National Bureau of Credit Histories. (Only 4 percent of mortgage loans are in arrears.)

Payday lenders offer short-term unsecured loans, often with interest compounded daily. Anton and Anna Byskup say they borrowed from Domashnie Dengi (Home Money), which says on its website that it charges 1 percent interest per day—365 percent annually. Such lending has boomed in the downturn. The volume of payday borrowing rose nearly 17 percent during the fourth quarter of 2015, with loans averaging about 12,000 rubles, according to the National Bureau of Credit Histories. Domashnie Dengi Chief Executive Officer Andrei Bakhvalov declined to comment on the Byskups’ case but said in an e-mail that the company sometimes sold off delinquent loans to outside collectors if its own collection efforts had failed. “It is a common practice in the financial market,” he wrote.

Volume of Russian consumer debt at least 90 days overdue: 1.2 trillion rubles

The National Association of Professional Collection Agencies says it represents 90 percent of the country’s debt collectors and that none of its members has been accused of illegal activity. “Basically they’re in a call center with a script. They rarely go anywhere,” says Boris Voronin, the group’s director. The remaining 10 percent of collectors, however, “are hooligans,” he says. “For a few thousand rubles they are almost willing to kill, or at least threaten.”

Debtors complain that authorities rarely investigate reported threats from collectors. Ismail Guseinov, the grandfather of the child injured in the Ulyanovsk firebombing, told Russian news media that he had previously gone to the police after he received menacing text messages and someone threw a brick through his window with a note demanding payment. No action was taken, he said. After the Molotov attack, prosecutors said they identified the suspect by tracing the text messages to his cell phone.

Under a law that took effect last October, Russians now have the right to file for personal bankruptcy. But the law requires at least 500,000 rubles in overdue payments, far more than many debtors owe. Russia’s parliament is considering legislation to rein in or even abolish the debt collection business. But tighter controls could make life harder for legitimate collection agencies, while unscrupulous collectors would operate illegally, Voronin says.

With an estimated 11.6 million Russians owing 1.2 trillion rubles in overdue loans, the issue isn’t going away. “As long as there are debts, there will be collectors,” says Alexander Akhlomov, head of product management at the United Credit Bureau, a Moscow-based credit-monitoring agency. But, he says, “you need to use civilized methods.”

The bottom line: With about 10 percent of consumer debt in arrears, Russia’s parliament is considering legislation to regulate debt collection.


Tuesday, March 8, 2016

Some Wall Street Vets Are Betting On a Weed Exchange (BW)


  • Platform operates only in Colorado and California right now
  • `I look at this as an early Nymex,' former Nymex chairman says

Legal marijuana is a $5 billion business in the U.S., and Steve Janjic figured he’d get a piece of it. With a commodity exchange. For a product that can’t be transported across state lines.

Not to worry. “It’s never easy to pioneer an industry,” says Janjic, a former foreign-exchange executive at Tullett Prebon LLC who has put $1 million into Amercanex Corp., an electronic cannabis-trading platform that handles sales of about 100 to 150 pounds of weed a week.

That’s not exactly blockbuster in a country with an estimated 20 million marijuana consumers. It may not be too bad, though, in the case of a young exchange for a psychoactive substance transitioning to legitimate, or sort of legitimate, considering it’s illegal under federal law. Janjic and other Wall Street veterans backing Amercanex take the very long view.

While only four states and the District of Columbia have sanctioned pot for recreational use, Nevada may join them after a November vote. In 23 states, the drug is allowed for medicinal purposes. Polls show a majority of Americans believe it should be as licit as beer, giving Amercanex high hopes.

“I look at this as an early Nymex,” says Richard Schaeffer, a former chairman of the New York Mercantile Exchange. “I look for this to become a very substantial matching engine bringing buyers and sellers together.”


Schaeffer, 63, is Amercanex’s chairman, and Janjic, 49, is chief executive officer and co-founder. Others from the financial world involved include futures trader Timothy Petrone, a member of Nymex and the Chicago Board of Trade, former Nymex board member David Greenberg and James McNally, who’s been a member of Nymex, the Commodities Exchange and the Hong Kong Futures Exchange.

For the record, none is a cannabis user, which is probably neither here nor there. Even the gluten-intolerant can get rich in wheat futures.

But is there serious money to be made trading the flowers and leaves of the cannabis plant? Amercanex isn’t alone in betting there will be, someday. Sohum Shah, a 26-year-old with a degree from the University of Arizona, started the Cannabis Commodities Exchange three months before Amercanex got off the ground.

CCE operates only in Colorado, which in 2012 became the first state to vote to make recreational-pot legal. Amercanex is in Colorado and California, the first to OK weed for medicinal use, and Janjic says there are expansion plans.

Schaeffer, 63, is Amercanex’s chairman, and Janjic, 49, is chief executive officer and co-founder. Others from the financial world involved include futures trader Timothy Petrone, a member of Nymex and the Chicago Board of Trade, former Nymex board member David Greenberg and James McNally, who’s been a member of Nymex, the Commodities Exchange and the Hong Kong Futures Exchange.

For the record, none is a cannabis user, which is probably neither here nor there. Even the gluten-intolerant can get rich in wheat futures.

But is there serious money to be made trading the flowers and leaves of the cannabis plant? Amercanex isn’t alone in betting there will be, someday. Sohum Shah, a 26-year-old with a degree from the University of Arizona, started the Cannabis Commodities Exchange three months before Amercanex got off the ground.

CCE operates only in Colorado, which in 2012 became the first state to vote to make recreational-pot legal. Amercanex is in Colorado and California, the first to OK weed for medicinal use, and Janjic says there are expansion plans.

Same-State Limitation

The hurdles are sizable. For an exchange to fully function, a commodity has to have standardized specifications and some regulatory oversight, as products from corn to metals do, so everyone can be assured of exactly what they’re buying and selling, says Dale Rosenthal, who teaches finance at the University of Illinois at Chicago. “There’s not a clear reference price” for raw marijuana either, he says, another sticking point.

Weed comes in a very wide range of quality and potency and price; the legal stuff hasn’t been around long enough for any national benchmarks. Traditional spot and futures markets for commodities like wheat or crude oil are linked to a single, widely accepted variety with a minimum quality standard.

Amercanex buyers aren’t operating blind, Janjic says, because the exchange sends what’s sold on its platform to a laboratory for evaluation and shares the results.

But here’s the rub: Buyers and sellers have to be in the same state. The U.S. government regulates interstate commerce, and selling or possessing marijuana are federal crimes. So, then, is sending it across borders -- and Amercanex is an exchange for spot trades of physical purchases, not paper-only futures or options contracts. Right now, federal law is “the risk in this game,” Janjic says.

‘Really Fun’

In Colorado, purveyors were required until January 2015 to cultivate what they sold, and most still do. “The only way that I think you can really be successful is by growing your own,” says Bruce Nassau, the CEO of Tru Cannabis, which has five stores. “If you’re buying from a wholesaler, you’re screwed.”

In Oregon and Alaska, merchants are allowed to use their own raw materials, but Washington legalized in 2014 with a law forbidding retailers from doing so. “In a system like that, exchanges become more useful,” says Adam Orens, the founding partner of the Marijuana Policy Group.

Amercanex started in July 2014 with 20,000 seats, though it has retired about 8,000. The seats began selling for $2,500 each and are now going for $10,000, Janjic says; 7,000 are are still up for grabs.

Dixie Brands Inc., a Denver-based maker of tetrahydrocannabinol-infused products, bought a seat last year, and has an equity stake. Amercanex will help distribute its goods more efficiently, says CEO Tripp Keber. “You’re starting to see some other players come into the market, which I think is a strong endorsement.”

For McNally, who’s on the three-member advisory board and owns a seat, being part of a brand-new sector is exciting. “It reminds me of when I first started,” he says, recalling his days as a Hang Seng Index options trader in Hong Kong in the ’90s. “It’s really fun.”

Last year, legal weed sales rose 17 percent to $5.4 billion, according to a report from ArcView Market Research and New Frontier, and if every state had legitimatized marijuana the sum could have been $36.8 billion. California, the most populous state, might start boosting the numbers soon.

Campaigns are collecting signatures for November ballot measures. “California is very important,” Janjic says. “It’s shaping up to be the largest marketplace in the world.”



Monday, March 7, 2016

The Mystery Madoff Victims Who Left $2.5 Billion on the Table (BusinessWeek)


  • Offshore feeder funds account for part of the mystery
  • Experts speculate some customers sought to avoid scrutiny

Ever since Bernie Madoff’s Ponzi scheme collapsed in 2008, it’s been much-rumored that investors included tax dodgers shielding money from the IRS, drug dealers who laundered proceeds through the con man and wealthy moguls hiding assets from ex-spouses.
After all, the scheme wiped out $20 billion of investors’ money, but the victims’ claims for repayment total just $17.5 billion.

Who would walk away from $2.5 billion, and why?

Part of the answer may be far less mysterious or dubious than thought.

Almost half of the unclaimed money can be traced to a couple of Caribbean-based hedge funds. Their reason, while unknown, may have amounted to a calculated decision that any recovery on their $1.2 billion of claims would be tiny compared with what they might be forced to give back if they got tangled up in U.S. courts, according to lawyers familiar with the recovery process. 
 
As for the remaining $1.3 billion in unclaimed money, experts are left to ponder. Unlike the two funds, these are likely individual investors who had a variety of reasons to shy away from the claims process, especially at a time when victims were expecting to recover only 4 or 5 cents on the dollar, legal experts say.

"What’s the downside of putting a claim in and seeing what happens, unless somebody doesn’t want their own affairs being scrutinized?" said Richard Scheff, a former federal prosecutor who’s chairman of Philadelphia-based Montgomery McCracken Walker & Rhoads LLP. Some of these people may be kicking themselves now; victims are getting 57 cents on the dollar.

Feeder Funds

The situation underscores the complexities involved in the effort to recover money for Madoff’s victims. So far Irving Picard, the trustee hired to wind down Madoff’s firm, has repaid about $9.2 billion to people who invested directly with the scammer. Tens of thousands of others await some recovery. They couldn’t file claims with Picard because they placed money in so-called feeder funds that invested with Madoff.

"We can’t speculate on the motivations for any customer deciding not to attempt to recover lost principal via the claims process," said Amanda Remus, spokeswoman for Picard and his team of lawyers at BakerHostetler LLP in Manhattan. Picard is barred by law from revealing the names of victims.

The biggest of the two hedge funds that invested with Madoff is Harley International (Cayman) Ltd., managed by the obscure trust company Euro-Dutch Management Ltd. Harley opened an account with Madoff in 1996, around the time the con man began ramping up his fraud with the help of rigged computer programs, court records in New York show.

Lost $1 Billion

Harley ended up investing all its money -- more than $2 billion -- in Madoff’s firm, according to the court filings. But as the financial crisis accelerated, Harley withdrew $1.07 billion in the two years before Madoff’s arrest. The remaining $1 billion in Harley’s account went up in smoke, and the fund was forced into liquidation by a Cayman Islands court in 2009.
Picard sued Harley in federal court in Manhattan in 2009 for the return of the entire $1.07 billion it had withdrawn. Picard argued the hedge fund "knew or should have known" that Madoff was a fraud, based on the unrealistic and steady returns it received, according to the complaint against the fund.

U.S. Jurisdiction

Harley now faced a decision: Filing a claim for its $1 billion loss would expose the hedge fund to U.S. jurisdiction and Picard’s suit. That trade-off may not have seemed wise at the time, according to lawyers. Harley could conceivably be forced to cough up the $1.07 billion to Picard -- and recover maybe $50 million on its loss.

So, Harley didn’t file a claim and ignored the suit. In 2010 a federal judge awarded Picard a default judgment for the full amount he sought. Picard still hasn’t collected the money.

Harley “made a strategic decision not to appear in this jurisdiction,” Elizabeth Scully, one of Picard’s lawyers, said in a 2010 court hearing in Manhattan.

“You can envision someone doing the math and thinking the recovery in the bankruptcy process would be only a few pennies on the dollar,” said Matthew L. Schwartz, a former federal prosecutor in Manhattan who worked on the Madoff case.

Geoff Varga, Harley’s court-appointed liquidator with Duff & Phelps LLP in Manhattan, confirmed that Harley didn’t file a claim in the Madoff case. He declined to say why.

"It shouldn’t be too difficult to figure out why Harley didn’t file a claim in the Madoff liquidation," Anthony Inder Rieden, the chief executive officer of Euro-Dutch, which is still in operation, said in an e-mail. He declined to elaborate.

Ignored Lawsuit

Another feeder fund, Vizcaya Partners, could have filed a claim for $147 million but didn’t, court records show. The British Virgin Islands-based fund also ignored a lawsuit by Picard that sought $180 million withdrawn from Madoff’s firm in the months before it collapsed. They later reached a settlement, with Vizcaya paying $25 million.

Anthony Paccione of Katten Muchin Rosenman LLP in New York, who represented Vizcaya in its dealings with Picard, declined to comment on why the fund didn’t file a claim.

Not filing a claim isn’t automatically a sign of wrongdoing. Some folks may have just missed the deadline or could afford to put the mess behind them and move on.

One thing is certain: the missing claims mean there will be a lot more money to go around for Madoff’s other victims. Picard has said he’d like to pay back 100 cents on the dollar, and now he can get there faster.

Thursday, March 3, 2016

SBDC Florida: Graduate Student Win Top Honors ...




Media Release    
  
Contact:
Dianne Gross
(850) 898-3486
  
March 2, 2016
For Immediate Release
UWF, UCF Student Teams Win National 
Small Business Institute® Awards

Graduate Students Win Top Honors for Consulting Projects Involving
Florida SBDC Small Business Clients 
FSBDCN State Office (Pensacola, Fla.) - The Florida SBDC Network, the state's principal provider of business assistance, is pleased to announce that three graduate student teams from the University of West Florida (UWF) and the University of Central Florida (UCF) were awarded top honors by the Small Business Institute (SBI®) during its 40th Annual Academic Conference. The honors, bestowed by the SBI® as part of its prestigious student project competition, were announced February 13 in New Orleans.

(L-R):  Dr. Tim O' Keefe, Dean of the UWF College of Business; Dr. Blaine Lawlor, Assistant Professor for the UWF Department of Management; and Michael Myhre, Florida SBDC CEO and Network State Director
A UWF MBA team won first place in the Best SBDC Paper category. The team consisted of graduate students Stelios Peterson, Gerry Goldstein, Michael Newsom, and Laura Jansen; and faculty advisor Dr. Blaine Lawlor, assistant professor for the Department of Management and MIS. For the project, the team prepared an in-depth analysis for Pensacola-based Best Price Digital Lens, LLC, a client of the Florida SBDC at UWF, to assist owner Dr. Gene Terrezza in expanding his current optical lens manufacturing facility.
 
In 2015, the MBA team submitted their final paper to the North American Case Research Association (NACRA). In October, they traveled to Orlando to defend the paper's methodology for research, conclusions, and recommendations. The paper was selected among only 20 papers around the world for publication by NACRA.
 
"Yet another example of the exceptional work our student teams produce on "live" case consulting projects," said Dr. Tim O'Keefe, dean of the UWF College of Business. "Partnering with our FSBDC at UWF regional office, College of Business professors engage our students with the business community to solve their pressing problems. These consulting engagements provide innovative experiential learning for our students while extending the positive impact of our College of Business and our FSBDC on economic development in the Northwest Florida area.  Businesses get solutions from a fresh perspective and our students get immediate confirmation of the value of their educational endeavor.  They actively apply what they are learning to add value to an organization."
Dr. Carl Blencke, instructor for the UCF Department of Management (left); and Michael Myhre, Florida SBDC CEO and Network State Director (right)

In a competition among student teams from across the country, UCF took home top honors in two categories for consulting projects involving Florida SBDC at UCF clients. A team comprised of graduate students John Dovas, Kiara Dyson, and Susan Gaines was awarded second-place in the Graduate Comprehensive category for their work with Orlando-based SuperSlow Zone, Inc. The company, a professional service provider of one-on-one personal training instruction, requested the team's assistance in an analysis of their franchises with regard to marketing and overhead.
 
Additionally, a second UCF student team received Honorable Mention in the Graduate Specialized category for their work with Winter Springs-based PowerGrid Engineering, LLC. Students Robert O'Dowd, Bianca Duffield, Ashley Monard, and Katrina Green worked with the company to develop an internal stakeholder analysis, a competitive analysis of their market segment, as well as an actionable Market Intelligence report. Both teams worked with faculty advisor Dr. Carl Blencke, an instructor for the Department of Management, as part of 
a management class.
 
The Florida SBDC at UCF, in conjunction with the UCF College of Business Administration, manages the SBI® program locally to recruit and evaluate FSBDC clients for the program, lend FSBDC business consultants as SBI® case supervisors, and provide a range of guidance and support. The Florida SBDC is part of the UCF Office of Research and Commercialization (ORC).
 
"The SBI program is an important part of UCF academics and our entrepreneurial ecosystem in connecting theory to real-world application," said Dr. Tom O'Neal, associate vice president of the UCF ORC. "Carl and the FSBDC at UCF have done an outstanding job in mentoring students to achieve their goals and work alongside local companies."
 
Celebrating its 40th anniversary in 2016, the Florida SBDC Network provides consulting, training, and information to help small businesses grow and succeed. The Florida SBDC at UWF and UCF are part of a statewide network of more than 40 centers involving universities, state colleges, and dozens of local economic development organizations that serve the needs of Florida's business community.
 
"I congratulate the Florida SBDC at UWF, the Florida SBDC at UCF, and the graduate student teams for this prestigious honor," said Michael Myhre, Florida SBDC Network CEO and State Director. "The SBI® awards are a testament to the partnership of Florida SBDCs and their host partner institutions. Our student teams complement our certified professional business consultants that bring invaluable opportunity for both our students in applied learning and client businesses with access to young talent."
 
The SBI® is the premier organization dedicated to fostering entrepreneurship and small business through field-based student consulting and local outreach. Its mission is to strengthen the small business/entrepreneurship sector of the free enterprise system.
 
For more information, visit www.FloridaSBDC.org
  
About the Florida SBDC Network: 

The Florida SBDC Network, the state's principal provider of business assistance, is celebrating its 40th anniversary in 2016. Since its inception, the Florida SBDC Network has nourished a statewide partnership between higher education and economic development to provide emerging and established business owners with management and technical assistance, enabling overall growth, increased profitability, and economic prosperity for the state. In 2014, the initiatives of the Florida SBDC Network resulted in 42,664 jobs created, retained and saved; $5.8 billion in sales growth; $140.2 million in capital accessed; $210.2 million in government contract awards; and 952 new businesses started. A statewide network of over 40 centers, the Florida SBDC is funded in part by the U.S. Small Business Administration, Defense Logistics Agency, State of Florida and other private and public partners, with the University of West Florida serving as the network's designated lead host institution. The Florida SBDC Network is nationally accredited by the Association of SBDCs. For more information, please visit www.FloridaSBDC.org.
 
###
designation-navy

FSBDCN State Office l UWF Center for Research and Economic Opportunity
Suntrust Tower, Suite 301, 220 West Garden Street l Pensacola, FL 32502
850.898.3479 l www.FloridaSBDC.org

Wednesday, March 2, 2016

Your Smartphone Knows Who You Are and What You're Doing (BusinessWeek)


  • Modern phones are digital repositories of daily life
  • Intimate data is at heart of Apple-FBI privacy debate

Your phone knows more about you than you think.
It knows where you’ve been and who you were with, the birthday gift you bought your mother and who you plan to vote for. Sex last night? It knows that too if you’re using one of the applications for couples trying to conceive.
From pre-installed apps that count your steps to saved passwords for banking accounts and social media, smartphones have evolved from devices that make calls into digital repositories for the most intimate details of life.
"You can extract enough information on a typical person’s phone that you can construct a virtual clone of that individual," said Elad Yoran, executive chairman of Koolspan Inc., a communications security company. "They are the windows not just into our personal lives but they are equally the windows into our professional lives."
And, as the Federal Bureau of Investigation’s battle with Apple Inc. shows, they have become a goldmine for investigators. The agency has won a court order demanding Apple’s help unlocking an iPhone used by Syed Rizwan Farook, who shot scores of co-workers at a December office event in San Bernardino, California in December, killing 14.
Apple is fighting the order, mounting a highly public case against what it calls government overreach and in defense of privacy. It warns that anything it does to override the encryption of its smartphones could help hackers.
Kids’ Locations
"There’s probably more information about you on your phone than there is in your house," Apple chief executive Tim Cook told ABC News last week. "Our smartphones are loaded with our intimate conversations, our financial data, our health records. They’re also loaded with the location of our kids in many cases."
The world’s 7.3 billion people now have an estimated 3.4 billion smartphones. That’s expected to climb to 6.4 billion by 2021, according to communications company Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson. The phones are powerful, processing more information faster than the computers NASA used to put humans on the moon.
That’s permitted them to perform a stunning array of functions and collect troves of data.
There’s a record of calls made and received, text messages, photos, contact lists, calendar entries, Internet browsing history and notes, as well as access to e-mail accounts, banking institutions and websites like Amazon, Facebook, Twitter and Netflix, said Koolspan’s Yoran.

Stored Passwords

Many people instruct their phones to remember passwords for these apps so they can be quickly opened -- which means they are available to anyone who gets into the phone. That reveals your taste in films, shopping habits and relationships.

Some new phones come pre-loaded with a health app that automatically tracks how many steps a user takes. Others can be downloaded to pinpoint a person’s location using GPS coordinates or reveal political leanings and food preferences.

Friend Finder

Navigation programs can serve as a record of places visited. If you use a friend finder app, the phone will know where your friends or family members are or have been.
Moreover, smartphones quietly collect data about a user and share it with others, said Andrew Blaich, lead security analyst for Bluebox Security, which helps secure apps. For example, the phone communicates with its telecommunications service provider and its manufacturer for software updates, while apps talk back to developers, Blaich said.
"Applications in general write a lot of data to their local storage. This data includes user names and passwords and it could include credit card numbers," he said. "If an attacker were to be able to get into your phone and get access to this data they could basically impersonate you. A lot of this information is stored unencrypted on the device."

Other apps distribute information about your use of them to advertisers.

Sharing Data

Most users don’t realize the extent to which their phone is connected to the outside world because accounts stay automatically logged in, said Mike Murray, vice president of security research for mobile security company Lookout Inc.

Phones can reveal company secrets, too. Murray said many Fortune 500 companies have a mobile phone app allowing employees to connect to networks over a virtual private network.
All of that data can be valuable to police. FBI Director James Comey told lawmakers last week that Farook’s phone could help solve the mystery of where he was for 18 minutes after the rampage. Despite scouring security cameras and interviewing witnesses, agents can’t account for where he and his wife went before they were spotted by police in a rented SUV, chased and slain in a gun-battle.

Comey said he is sensitive to the need for privacy.

Yorgen Edholm, chief executive officer of cybersecurity company Accellion Inc., said the ability to track, impersonate and even manipulate someone through a smartphone shows the need to be vigilant about security and cautious of overreach by the government.

"I call it the cyborg device because it’s so connected to us," Edholm said. "If the government wanted a decryption key for me, it would be my smartphone."


Tuesday, March 1, 2016

'Big Short' Professor's Fund Swells in Past Year (BusinessWeek)

US-konom Richard Thaler
Richard Thaler.
  • Thaler's $3.7 billion Behavioral Value pool beat 99% of peers
  • JPMorgan vehicle unearths `dogs that are going to look better'

Richard Thaler’s cameo in the Oscar contending movie “The Big Short” was a rare moment of glamour for an economist who built his career studying the follies of human behavior.

The 70-year-old University of Chicago professor, whose stock-picking theories drive the Undiscovered Managers Behavioral Value Fund, is getting discovered in more ways than one. The small-cap mutual fund, which beat 99 percent of its Bloomberg peers over the past three and five years, has almost doubled in size to $3.7 billion during the past 12 months as investor deposits surged.

“What we try to do is put academic research to use,” Thaler said in an interview this month in Los Angeles. “We’re interested in the dogs that are going to look better.”


Thaler, whose fund is owned and marketed by JPMorgan Chase & Co. and subadvised by his Fuller & Thaler Asset Management, explains synthetic collateralized debt obligations in layman’s terms to the audience in “The Big Short,” the financial-crisis black comedy up for Best Picture at Sunday’s Academy Awards. U.S. bookmaker Ladbrokes Plc ranks the film’s odds of garnering the top Oscar below “The Revenant” and “Spotlight.”

Money managers like him have been putting behavioral economic theory to the test since the days of value-investing pioneers Benjamin Graham and David Dodd as they seek an edge in the markets.

The Behavioral Value fund has averaged annual returns of 10 percent over the past 15 years, according to Morningstar Inc. The fund was started in 1998 by Undiscovered Managers LLC, a Dallas-based investment firm, two years after Fuller & Thaler created the strategy. JPMorgan bought Undiscovered Managers in 2003 and now markets the fund, which returned 3.4 percent in 2015, beating the 7.5 percent decline of its benchmark, the Russell 2000 Value Index.

‘Less Cheap’

Dave Potter is the lead portfolio manager, ferreting out stocks that trade at low price-earnings ratios and look poised to rebound based on signals such as insider share purchases and company buyback plans. Russell Fuller, co-founder of the San Mateo, California-based firm, also is a portfolio manager.

“Just buying cheap stocks doesn’t do you any good unless they get less cheap soon,” Thaler said.

Strategies based on Thaler’s research haven’t always been popular. The Undiscovered Managers Behavioral Growth Fund closed in 2012 “due to lack of critical mass and client demand,” Kristen Chambers, a JPMorgan spokeswoman, said in an e-mail.

Thaler, who published a combination memoir and history of his field last year called “Misbehaving: The Making of Behavioral Economics,” said his value fund blends judgment and quantitative analysis to outperform.

“We’re an active manager, so we think we can beat the market by a little most of the time,” he said. “Our methods are kind of a hybrid. We don’t fit neatly into a single quant versus judgmental box. We use judgment based on academic-style rigorous testing.”

Former Student

Potter is a former Thaler student who worked at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. before joining Fuller & Thaler in 2005. He applies Thaler’s research from three decades ago that found investors tend to overreact to price declines by selling losers, which later bounce back to outperform markets over the long term. Fuller refined that theory to seek signs for a rebound.

“The best information will come from people inside the companies, i.e. management buying their own stock in the open market,” Potter said in a telephone interview. “We’re looking for the companies that say not only is our stock so cheap that management is buying it, but the company itself is going to forgo an M&A opportunity or capital expenditures and use cash to reduce the share count.”

He declined to discuss details about recent trades or current stock positions, which are led by financial, industrial and technology firms.

One past example was EnerSys, a growing industrial battery manufacturer that fell with the broad market to a low of $5.96 in November 2008, leaving it with an attractive valuation, a strong business model and manageable debt, Potter said. When EnerSys executives, including the chief executive, started buying shares, Potter followed. As the stock soared and insiders ramped up selling in 2013, it was a signal to consider exiting the position. The first shares were purchased for about $6.50 in November 2008, Potter said, and the last sold in March 2014 at about $72.50, near the all-time high.

‘Surfer’ Skills

The strategy missed with Knight Capital Group Inc., a market maker on the New York Stock Exchange and other venues as well as a broker that executed orders for clients. Knight was crippled by an August 2012 software malfunction that cost the company more than $460 million in trading losses and led to its sale.

“It was a sizable position,” Potter said of the company, which became KCG Holdings Inc. “That was a strong reminder that operational risk -- specifically the potential damage to a firm from ‘black swan’ unpredictable events -- should always be considered.”

The fund was down 3.9 percent this year through Feb. 25, beating its benchmark as well as the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index. Recent market gyrations are setting up opportunities for a stronger performance, Thaler said.

“We like volatility,” he said. “It’s like a surfer needs surf. Everybody’s going to look bad on flat water. If it gets a little choppy, you’ll be able to show your skill.”